Julien Faddoul
Precursor prizes are listed with each corresponding nominee. With Best Picture I am predicting 9. For the rest, the top 5 serve as my official predictions. Lock them in.
BEST
PICTURE
LOCK
1. American Hustle – Columbia Pictures (Golden Globe, NYFCC)
2. 12 Years a Slave – Fox Searchlight (Golden Globe, NYFCO,
LAFCA, BSFC, OFCS, SLGFCA, DFWFCA, IFJA, SEFCA, SFFCC, HFCS, KCFCC, CFCA)
3. Gravity – Warner Bros (LAFCA)
4. Captain Phillips – Columbia Pictures
VERY LIKELY
5. Nebraska – Paramount
Pictures
6. The Wolf of Wall Street – Paramount
Pictures
LIKELY
7. Dallas Buyers Club – Focus
Features
MAYBE
8. Her – Warner Bros (NBR, LAFCA, DFCS, AFCA)
9. Philomena – The Weinstein Company
10. Saving Mr Banks – Walt
Disney Pictures
11. Inside Llewyn Davis – CBS Films (TFCA)
12. August: Osage County – The
Weinstein Company
13. Blue Jasmine – Sony
Pictures Classics
NO CHANCE
14. Lee Daniels’ The Butler – The
Weinstein Company
15. All is Lost – Lionsgate
16. Rush – Universal Pictures
17. Fruitvale Station – The
Weinstein Company
18. The Secret Life of Walter Mitty – 20th
Century Fox
BEST
DIRECTOR
LOCK
1. Gravity – Alfonso Cuaron (Golden Globe, NYFCO,
LAFCA, OFCS, DFWFCA, SFFCC, HFCS, KCFCC, DFCS, TFCA, AFCA)
2. 12 Years a Slave – Steve McQueen (NYFCC, BSFC,
SLGFCA, IFJA, SEFCA, KCFCC, CFCA)
VERY LIKELY
3. American Hustle – David
O. Russell
4. Captain Phillips – Paul
Greengrass
LIKELY
MAYBE
5. Her – Spike Jonze (NBR)
6. The Wolf of Wall Street – Martin
Scorsese
7. Nebraska – Alexander
Payne
8. Inside Llewyn Davis – Joel and
Ethan Coen
9. Philomena – Stephen
Frears
NO CHANCE
10. Dallas Buyers Club – Jean Marc
Vallee
11. Rush – Ron Howard
12. All is Lost – J.C.
Chandor
13. Lee Daniels’ The Butler – Lee
Daniels
14. Saving Mr Banks – John Lee
Hancock
15. The Secret Life of Walter Mitty – Ben
Stiller
16. August: Osage County – John
Wells
17. Fruitvale Station – Ryan
Coogler
18. Blue Jasmine – Woody
Allen
BEST
ACTOR
LOCK
1. Dallas Buyers Club – Matthew McConaughey (Golden Globe,
DFWFCA, DFCS)
2. Nebraska – Bruce Dern (NBR, LAFCA)
3. 12 Years a Slave – Chiwetel Ejiofor (NYFCO, BSFC,
OFCS, SLGFCA, IFJA, SEFCA, SFFCC, HFCS, KCFCC, CFCA, AFCA)
VERY LIKELY
4. Captain Phillips – Tom Hanks
LIKELY
5. The Wolf of Wall Street –
Leonardo DiCaprio (Golden Globe)
MAYBE
6. All is Lost – Robert Redford (NYFCC)
7. Her – Joaquin Phoenix
8. American Hustle –
Christian Bale
9. Lee Daniels’ The Butler – Forrest
Whitaker
10. Inside Llewyn Davis – Oscar
Isaac (TFCA)
NO CHANCE
11. The Fifth Estate – Benedict
Cumberbatch
12. Fruitvale Station – Michael
B. Jordan
13. Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom – Idris
Elba
BEST ACTRESS
LOCK
1. Blue Jasmine – Cate Blanchett (Golden Globe, NYFCC,
NYFCO, LAFCA, BSFC, OFCS, SLGFCA, DFWFCA, SEFCA, SFFCC, CFCA, TFCA)
2. Gravity – Sandra Bullock (HFCS, KCFCC)
3. Saving Mr Banks – Emma Thompson (NBR)
VERY LIKELY
4. Philomena – Judi
Dench
LIKELY
MAYBE
5. American Hustle – Amy
Adams (Golden Globe)
6. August: Osage County – Meryl
Streep
7. Blue is the Warmest Color – Adèle
Exarchopoulos (LAFCA, IFJA)
8. Short Term 12 – Brie
Larson (DFCS, AFCA)
NO CHANCE
9. Labor Day – Kate
Winslet
BEST
SUPPORTING ACTOR
LOCK
1. Dallas Buyers Club – Jared Leto (Golden Globe, NYFCC,
NYFCO, LAFCA, SLGFCA, DFWFCA, SEFCA, HFCS, DFCS, CFCA, TFCA, AFCA)
2. 12 Years a Slave – Michael Fassbender (OFCS, KCFCC)
3. Captain Phillips – Barkhad Abdi (IFJA)
VERY LIKELY
LIKELY
4. Rush – Daniel Bruhl
MAYBE
5. American Hustle – Bradley
Cooper
6. Enough Said – James
Gandolfini (BSFC)
7. Nebraska – Will
Forte (NBR)
8. Saving Mr Banks – Tom Hanks
9. The Wolf of Wall Street – Jonah
Hill
NO CHANCE
10. Spring Breakers – James
Franco (LAFCA, SFFCC)
BEST
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
LOCK
1. 12 Years a Slave – Lupita Nyong’o (NYFCO, LAFCA,
OFCS, SLGFCA, DFWFCA, SEFCA, HFCS, KCFCC, CFCA, AFCA)
2. American Hustle – Jennifer Lawrence (Golden
Globe, NYFCC, IFJA, SFFCC, TFCA)
VERY LIKELY
3. Nebraska – June
Squibb (BSFC)
4. Lee Daniels’ The Butler – Oprah
Winfrey
LIKELY
5. August: Osage County – Julia
Roberts
MAYBE
6. Blue Jasmine – Sally
Hawkins
7. Fruitvale Station –
Octavia Spencer (NBR)
8. August: Osage County – Margo
Martindale
9. 12 Years a Slave – Sarah
Paulson
NO CHANCE
10. Her – Scarlett Johansson (DFCS)
11. Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom – Naomie
Harris
12. Inside Llewyn Davis – Carey
Mulligan
BEST
ANIMATED FILM
LOCK
1. Frozen
(Golden Globe, SLGFCA, DFWFCA, IFJA,
SEFCA, SFFCC, HFCS, KCFCC, AFCA)
VERY LIKELY
2. The Wind Rises
(NYFCC, NBR, NYFCO, BSFC, OFCS, CFCA, TFCA)
LIKELY
3. Monsters University
4. The Croods
5. Ernest & Celestine (LAFCA)
MAYBE
6. Despicable Me 2
(KCFCC)
7. Epic
NO CHANCE
8. Free Birds
9. Turbo
10. Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2
BEST
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
LOCK
1. Her – Spike Jonze (Golden Globe, NYFCO,
OFCS, SLGFCA, IFJA, KCFCC, DFCS, CFCA, TFCA, AFCA)
2. American Hustle – Eric Singer, David O. Russell
(NYFCC, SEFCA, SFFCC)
3. Nebraska – Bob Nelson
VERY LIKELY
LIKELY
4. Inside Llewyn Davis – Joel
Coen, Ethan Coen (NBR)
MAYBE
5. Blue Jasmine – Woody
Allen
6. Fruitvale Station – Ryan
Coogler
7. Enough Said – Nicole
Holofcener (BSFC)
8. Lee Daniels’ The Butler – Danny
Strong
9. Rush – Peter Morgan
10. Dallas Buyers Club – Craig
Borten, Melissa Wallack
NO CHANCE
11. Saving Mr Banks – Kelly
Marchel, Sue Smith
12. Gravity – Alfonso
Cuaron, Jonas Cuaron
BEST
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
LOCK
1. 12 Years a Slave – Steve McQueen, John Ridley (OFCS,
SLGFCA, DFWFCA, SEFCA, SFFCC, HFCS, KCFCC, CFCA, AFCA)
VERY LIKELY
LIKELY
2. Captain Phillips – Billy Ray
3. Philomena – Steve
Coogan, Bill Pope
4. Before Midnight – Richard
Linklater, Julie Delpy, Ethan Hawke
(LAFCA, IFJA)
MAYBE
5. The Wolf of Wall Street – Terence
Winter (NBR)
6. August: Osage County – Tracy
Letts
7. Short Term 12 – Destin
Cretton
NO CHANCE
8. The Secret Life of Walter Mitty – Steve
Conrad
9. Blue is the Warmest Color – Abdellatif
Kechiche, Ghalia Lacroix
BEST
FOREIGN-LANGUAGE FILM
LOCK
1. The Great Beauty – Italy (Golden Globe)
2. The Broken Circle Breakdown - Belgium
VERY LIKELY
3. Two Lives – Germany
LIKELY
4. The Notebook – Hungary
MAYBE
5. The Hunt – Denmark
6. Omar – Palestine
7. The Grandmaster – Hong
Kong
8. The Missing Picture –
Cambodia
9. A Day in the Life of an Iron Picker – Bosnia
& Herzegovina
NO CHANCE
BEST
CINEMATOGRAPHY
LOCK
1.
Gravity – Emmanuel Lubez (NYFCO, LAFCA, BSFC, OFCS, DFWFCA, SEFCA, SFFCC, HFCS,
CFCA, AFCA)
2.
12 Years a Slave – Sean Bobbitt (SLGFCA)
VERY
LIKELY
3.
Inside
Llewyn Davis – Bruno Delbonnel (NYFCC)
LIKELY
4.
Prisoners
– Roger
Deakins
MAYBE
5. The Grandmaster – Phillipe
LeSourd
6.
Rush – Anthony
Dod Mantle
7.
Nebraska
– Phedon
Papamichael
8.
Captain
Phillips – Barry Ackroyd
9.
Her – Hoyt
Van Hoetema
10. The Great Gatsby – Simon
Duggan
NO CHANCE
11. All is Lost – Frank
G. DeMarco, Peter Zuccarini
BEST
PRODUCTION DESIGN
LOCK
1.
Gravity – Andy Nicholson (SFFCC, CFCA)
VERY
LIKELY
2.
12
Years a Slave – Adam Stockhausen
LIKELY
3.
The
Hobbit: The Desolation of
Smaug – Dan Hennah
4.
Saving
Mr Banks – Michael Corenblith
MAYBE
5.
The
Great Gatsby – Catherine Martin (SLGFCA)
6.
Her – KK
Barrett (LAFCA)
7. Inside Llewyn Davis – Jess
Gonchor
8. American Hustle – Judy
Becker
9.
Man of
Steel – Alex McDowell
NO CHANCE
10. The Invisible Woman – Maria
Djurkovic
11. The Grandmaster – William
Chang
BEST
COSTUME DESIGN
LOCK
1.
12 Years a Slave – Patricia Norris
2. American Hustle – Michael Wilkinson
3.
The Great Gatsby – Catherine Martin
VERY
LIKELY
4.
Saving
Mr Banks – Daniel Orlandi
LIKELY
MAYBE
5.
The
Invisible Woman – Michael O’Connor
6.
Lee
Daniels’ The Butler – Ruth E. Carter
7. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire – Trish
Summerville
8.
Inside
Llewyn Davis – Mary Zophres
9. The Grandmaster – William
Chang
10. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug – Dan Hennah
NO CHANCE
BEST
FILM EDITING
LOCK
1.
Captain Phillips – Christopher Rouse
2. Gravity – Alfonso Cuaron, Marc Sanger
(OFCS,
SFFCC, CFCA)
3.
12 Years a Slave – Joe Walker
VERY
LIKELY
LIKELY
4.
American
Hustle – Jay Cassidy
MAYBE
5.
The
Wolf of Wall Street – Thelma Schoonmaker
6.
Rush – Mike
Hill, Dan Hanley (BSFC)
7. Lee Daniels’ The Butler – Joe
Klotz
8. All is Lost – Pete
Beaudreau
9.
Nebraska
– Kevin
Tent
NO CHANCE
10. Inside Llewyn Davis –
Roderick Jaynes
BEST
SOUND
LOCK
VERY
LIKELY
1.
Captain
Phillips
2.
Gravity
LIKELY
3.
Inside
Llewyn Davis
MAYBE
4.
Rush
5.
12
Years a Slave
6.
Lone
Survivor
7. All is Lost
8. World War Z
9. Star Trek Into Darkness
10. Man of Steel
11. Frozen
12. The Great Gatsby
13. Pacific Rim
14. Iron Man 3
NO CHANCE
BEST
SOUND EDITING
LOCK
VERY
LIKELY
1.
Captain
Phillips
2.
Gravity
LIKELY
3.
Lone
Survivor
MAYBE
4.
Rush
5.
World
War Z
6.
All is
Lost
7. 12 Years a Slave
8. Inside Llewyn Davis
9. Star Trek Into Darkness
10. Man of Steel
11. Frozen
12. The Great Gatsby
13. Pacific Rim
14. Iron Man 3
NO CHANCE
BEST
VISUAL EFFECTS
LOCK
1.
Gravity
VERY
LIKELY
2.
The
Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
3.
Iron
Man 3
LIKELY
4.
Pacific
Rim
MAYBE
5.
World
War Z
6.
Man of
Steel
7. Star Trek Into Darkness
8. Oblivion
9. The Secret Life of Walter Mitty
10. Oz the Great and Powerful
11. The Great Gatsby
12. Elysium
13. The Wolverine
14. Thor: The Dark World
NO CHANCE
15. After Earth
BEST
MAKEUP
LOCK
VERY
LIKELY
LIKELY
1.
American
Hustle
2.
Jackass
Presents: Bad Grandpa
MAYBE
3.
The
Lone Ranger
4.
Dallas
Buyers Club
5. The Great Gatsby
6. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire
7.
Hansel
& Gretel: Witch Hunters
NO CHANCE
BEST
ORIGINAL SCORE
LOCK
1.
Gravity – Steven Price
2.
12 Years a Slave – Hans Zimmer
VERY
LIKELY
LIKELY
3.
Philomena
– Alexandre
Desplat
4.
Saving
Mr Banks – Thomas Newman
MAYBE
5.
All is
Lost – Alex Ebert (Golden
Globe)
6.
The
Book Thief – John Williams
7. Captain Phillips – Henry
Jackman
8. Rush – Hans Zimmer
9. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug – Howard
Shore
10. Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom – Alan
Heffes
NO CHANCE
BEST
ORIGINAL SONG
LOCK
1.
Frozen – “Let it Go”
VERY
LIKELY
LIKELY
MAYBE
2.
Her – “The
Moon Song”
3. The Great Gatsby –
“Young and Beautiful”
4. Lee Daniels’ The Butler – “In the
Middle of the Night”
5.
The
Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug – “I See Fire”
6.
Mandela:
Long Walk to Freedom – “Ordinary Love”
7. Lee Daniels’ The Butler – “You
and I Ain’t Nothin No More”
8. Short Term 12 – “So You
Know What’s It’s Like”
9. One Chance – “Sweeter
Than Fiction”
10. All is Lost – “Amen”
11. Despicable Me 2 – “Happy”
12. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire –
“Atlas”
NO CHANCE
BEST
DOCUMENTARY
LOCK
1.
20 Feet from Stardom (DFWFCA, HFCS)
2.
Blackfish (SLGFCA)
VERY
LIKELY
LIKELY
3.
The
Square
MAYBE
4.
God
Loves Uganda
5.
The Act
of Killing (NYFCO, BSFC, OFCS, IFJA, SEFCA, SFFCC, KCFCC, CFCA, AFCA)
6.
Stories
We Tell (LAFCA, DFCS)
7. Dirty Wars
8. Tim’s Vermeer
9. Cutie and the Boxer
10. The Armstrong Lie
11. The Crash Reel
12. First Cousin: Once Removed
13. Life According to Sam
14. Pussy Riot: A Punk Prayer
15. Which May is the Front Line from Here? The
Life and Time of Tim Hetherington
NO CHANCE
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